Must read election analysis

The website FiveThirtyEight.com contains a wealth of up to date polling data and analysis re. the upcoming election. Today's entry discusses the Republican National Convention and possible consequences here.

Taking the post-Democratic National Convention bump into account (and not yet the post-Republican National Convention bump, because it is still too soon after that convention), Obama currently has a wide lead in electoral votes -- 310 v. 228. Here's a graph from the website showing the current distribution of the electoral vote --

















And here is the current trend --


















The coming days should be interesting, and may give a better sense whether the argument that although McCain is a good tactician, Obama is the better strategist holds water (h/t Ochoro).