Some thoughts about Robert Kagan's view of Europe as increasingly irrelevant as reflected in the rejection of the Lisbon treaty --
Kagan's oped in today's Washington PostKagan understands the world in terms of power -- dividing the world into leaders and followers, and into those "with us" and those "against us" (first the communists, now the so-called islamo-fascists). Like so many others, both here in the U.S. and in Europe, he bought into Huntington's clash of civilization paradigm. Viewed through this lens, Europe is losing relevance because (i) it has not made sufficient investments into military development; and (ii) it is weakened by the current enemy-du-jour (Muslims) from within.
But this is generally not how most Western Europeans see the world. Centuries of war and unspeakable atrocities have ingrained a distrust of military force to achieve positive change. This notion is quite like the traditional American distrust of "government." As a result, use of force must be constrained (institutionally and legally) and legitimate -- i.e. absent U.N. approval, military force is only justified to defend the country against an imminent threat. As shown by his support for the illegal and illegitimate war in Iraq and his preference for "strong leadership", Kagan views those institutional and legal restraints without the same historical perspective (and treats them as pesky impediments at best).
Kagan similarly ignores the historical context of the relationship between the U.S. and Western Europe. After WWII, the U.S. and Western Europeentered into an agreement: in return for accepting U.S. leadership and dominance, Western Europe enjoyed the protection of the U.S. military umbrella (thereby allowing it in part to invest in the current welfare systems, education and the economy). Although the terms of this transatlantic agreement became the subject of renegotiation after 1989 (with different European countries taking different approaches), it is still not in the U.S.'s interest if Europe were to begin making the kind of military investments that we see here. Indeed, the same "neocons" and "realists" who decry Europe's supposed irrelevance would suddenly perceive a threat to U.S. interests and perhaps decide that Europe is a more realistic enemy than the amorphous (and incapable) "islamo-fascists."
Rearming Europe would also be terrible for Europe. With the exception of its common agricultural policy, Europe is now on balance a force for "good" in the world. But this is partly the result of a horrific legacy and historical guilt stemming from colonialism and genocide. So why give matches to a pyromaniac seeking to make amends? It would also simply be a waste of resources that are used to support countries that are economically and socially behind the times (like the $60 billion plus that was invested by the E.U. in Ireland). Moreover, rearming for what purpose? To fight the Russians and the Chinese as Kagan suggests? Who would benefit from that? Although Europe needs Russia for its resources, Russia needs Europe for its cash, infrastructure and common market (not the mention that Russia is "European" too). Similarly, Europe and China have developed very strong economic ties that would not be served by creating a new arms race. Indeed, the argument that Europe needs to rearm itself lies on yet another false dichotomy and the continued (and increasingly desperate) search by the "right" for external threats -- Russia, China and the E.U. simply do not pose any military threat to each other now or in the foreseeable future.
Refusing a clash of civilizations paradigm also shows that rather than losing relevance, Europe is actually gaining importance and relevance as an honest broker and social laboratory. Although many citizens of many European countries are (frequently too) distrustful of their Muslim fellow-citizens for cultural and economic reasons, most governments and elites are actively resisting the notion that all Muslims are dangerous or disloyal to their country. With results: the active cooperation between citizens who are Muslim with the security and intelligence services has helped thwart attacks and has saved lives (including U.S. lives) around the world.
In short, Kagan and his followers should stop pandering their facile notions by painting the world into black and white. The belief that everyone in the world can be broadly categorized as friend or foe simply does not help make this world a better place for anyone (least of all Americans). Indeed, when was the last time you traveled to South America, Asia or even Europe and were not a little apprehensive identifying yourself as an American? -- when I lived in Paris a few years ago, I saw so many "Canadians" that by any count all of Canada was enjoying a vacation abroad.